Climate and Global Change

Warm near the equator and cold at the poles, our planet is able to support a variety of living things because of its diverse regional climates. The average of all these regions makes up Earth's global climate. Climate has cooled and warmed throughout Earth history for various reasons. Rapid warming like we see today is unusual in the history of our planet. The scientific consensus is that climate is warming as a result of the addition of heat-trapping greenhouse gases which are increasing dramatically in the atmosphere as a result of human activities.

Earth's global average surface <a
  href="/earth/climate/ipcc_feb2007.html&edu=high&dev=1/earth/Atmosphere/moons/cloudart_present.ppsx">warming</a> relative to the
  1980-1999 average over the past 100 years is shown in the black line.
  Predictions of the amount of warming in the future are shown by the red,
  green, and purple lines. These predictions, developed with <a
  href="/earth/climate/cli_models.html&edu=high&dev=1/earth/Atmosphere/moons/cloudart_present.ppsx">computer models</a>, make different
  assumptions about how many <a
  href="/earth/climate/cli_greengas.html&edu=high&dev=1/earth/Atmosphere/moons/cloudart_present.ppsx">greenhouse gases</a> we release into the
  atmosphere in the future.<p><small><em> A Windows to the Universe image based on a graph from the IPCC 4th Assessment Report</em></small></p>Although we humans have never experienced fast <a href="/earth/climate/climate.html&edu=high&dev=1/earth/Atmosphere/moons/cloudart_present.ppsx">global
warming</a>, our
planet has. And our planet keeps records of what happened. The oldest
records that the
<a href="/earth/earth.html&edu=high&dev=1/earth/Atmosphere/moons/cloudart_present.ppsx">Earth</a> keeps
are in its
<a href="/earth/geology/sed_intro.html&edu=high&dev=1/earth/Atmosphere/moons/cloudart_present.ppsx">rocks</a>.
In this image, <a href="/headline_universe/olpa/methane_28may08.html&edu=high&dev=1/earth/Atmosphere/moons/cloudart_present.ppsx">geologists Chris von der Borch and Dave
Mrofka</a> collect
sediment samples in South Australia. These rocks hold clues to help
explain why climate changed abruptly 635 million years ago.<p><small><em>                    Courtesy of Martin Kennedy, UCR</em></small></p>Many forms of air pollution are human-made. Industrial plants, power plants
and vehicles with internal combustion engines produce <a href="/earth/climate/nitrogen_airpollution.html&edu=high&dev=1/earth/Atmosphere/moons/cloudart_present.ppsx">nitrogen
oxides</a>,
<a href="/earth/Atmosphere/vocs.html&edu=high&dev=1/earth/Atmosphere/moons/cloudart_present.ppsx">VOCs</a>,
<a href="/physical_science/chemistry/carbon_monoxide.html&edu=high&dev=1/earth/Atmosphere/moons/cloudart_present.ppsx">carbon monoxide</a>,
<a href="/physical_science/chemistry/carbon_dioxide.html&edu=high&dev=1/earth/Atmosphere/moons/cloudart_present.ppsx">carbon dioxide</a>,
<a href="/physical_science/chemistry/sulfur_oxides.html&edu=high&dev=1/earth/Atmosphere/moons/cloudart_present.ppsx">sulfur dioxide</a> and
<a href="/earth/Atmosphere/particulates.html&edu=high&dev=1/earth/Atmosphere/moons/cloudart_present.ppsx">particulates</a>.
Some of these gases are <a href="/earth/climate/cli_greengas.html&edu=high&dev=1/earth/Atmosphere/moons/cloudart_present.ppsx">greenhouse
gases</a>,
meaning that they retain heat in the Earth's atmosphere, due to the Earth's
<a href="/earth/climate/earth_greenhouse.html&edu=high&dev=1/earth/Atmosphere/moons/cloudart_present.ppsx">greenhouse effect</a>.<p><small><em>Image copyright UCAR</em></small></p>As temperatures rise and soil moisture decreases, plants are stressed, which can lead to <a href="/earth/climate/crops_withering.html&edu=high&dev=1/earth/Atmosphere/moons/cloudart_present.ppsx">crop withering</a>. <a href="/teacher_resources/online_courses/health/events_health.html&edu=high&dev=1/earth/Atmosphere/moons/cloudart_present.ppsx">Droughts</a> accompanied by increased temperatures can lead to famine, social and political disruptions. Scientists are  helping with early identification of drought that might trigger food shortages. Watch the NBC Learn video - <a href="/earth/changing_planet/withering_crops_intro.html&edu=high&dev=1/earth/Atmosphere/moons/cloudart_present.ppsx">Changing Planet: Withering Crops</a> to find out more.<p><small><em>Image taken by Tomas Castelazo, Creative Commons <a href=&quot;http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/deed.en&quot;>Attribution 3.0 Unported</a> license.</em></small></p>Scientists are concerned that melting Arctic sea ice will increase the amount of fresh water in the <a href="/earth/polar/arctic_currents.html&edu=high&dev=1/earth/Atmosphere/moons/cloudart_present.ppsx">Beaufort Gyre</a>, which could spill out into the Atlantic and cause major climate shifts in North America and Western Europe. Watch the <a href="/earth/changing_planet/freshwater_arctic.html&edu=high&dev=1/earth/Atmosphere/moons/cloudart_present.ppsx">Changing Planet: Fresh Water in the Arctic video</a>.<p><small><em> Courtesy of Jack Cook, WHOI (<a href="http://www.whoi.edu">Woods Hole Oceanographic Institute</a>)</em></small></p>How did life evolve on <a href="/earth/earth.html&edu=high&dev=1/earth/Atmosphere/moons/cloudart_present.ppsx">Earth</a> during the <a href="/earth/past/Archean.html&edu=high&dev=1/earth/Atmosphere/moons/cloudart_present.ppsx">Archean</a>, when the <a href="/sun/sun.html&edu=high&dev=1/earth/Atmosphere/moons/cloudart_present.ppsx">Sun</a> was about 25% weaker than today?  The Earth should have been <a href="/earth/polar/cryosphere_glacier1.html&edu=high&dev=1/earth/Atmosphere/moons/cloudart_present.ppsx">glaciated</a>, if <a href="/earth/climate/earth_greenhouse.html&edu=high&dev=1/earth/Atmosphere/moons/cloudart_present.ppsx">greenhouse</a> gas concentration was the same as today.  <a href="http://www.manchester.ac.uk/aboutus/news/display/?id=10798">Researchers</a> studying the <a href="/physical_science/physics/atom_particle/isotope.html&edu=high&dev=1/earth/Atmosphere/moons/cloudart_present.ppsx">isotopic</a> signatures of Earth's early atmosphere in <a href="/earth/geology/rocks_intro.html&edu=high&dev=1/earth/Atmosphere/moons/cloudart_present.ppsx">rocks</a> from Northern Australia have ruled out high levels of <a href="/physical_science/chemistry/nitrogen_molecular.html&edu=high&dev=1/earth/Atmosphere/moons/cloudart_present.ppsx">nitrogen</a> as a possible way to increase warming from <a href="/earth/Atmosphere/overview.html&edu=high&dev=1/earth/Atmosphere/moons/cloudart_present.ppsx">atmospheric</a> <a href="/physical_science/chemistry/carbon_dioxide.html&edu=high&dev=1/earth/Atmosphere/moons/cloudart_present.ppsx">carbon dioxide</a>.<p><small><em>Image courtesy of Manchester University</em></small></p>

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