Current Events

  • Irish Chronicles Document Links Between Volcanoes and Weather
    A study of over 40,000 written entries in Irish Annals and ice core measurements shows a strong corr...Read more

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    Irish Chronicles Document Links Between Volcanoes and Weather

    A study of over 40,000 written entries in Irish Annals and ice core measurements shows a strong correlation between the occurrence of volcanic eruptions and extreme cold weather in Ireland over a 1200 year period. Data analyzed in this study cover the period from 431 to 1649, during which time up to 48 volcanic eruptions are identified in Greenland ice core records through deposition of volcanic sulfate in annual layers of ice. You can find the study (open access), published on 6 June 2013 in IOP Publishing's journal Environmental Research Letters, at http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/8/2/024035/article. Find out more about how volcanoes can influence climate.
  • EF-5 Tornado in El Reno, Oklahoma Widest Ever Recorded in US
    The EF-5 tornado that hit El Reno, Oklahoma on May 31st was the widest ever recorded in the US, acco...Read more

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    EF-5 Tornado in El Reno, Oklahoma Widest Ever Recorded in US

    The EF-5 tornado that hit El Reno, Oklahoma on May 31st was the widest ever recorded in the US, according to the National Weather Service in Norman Oklahoma. The tornado, which remained on the ground for 40 minutes and reached 2.6 miles across (4.2 km), took the lives of 18 people including storm chasers Tim Samaras, Paul Samaras and Carl Young. For more information on the tornado, visit http://ow.ly/i/2hfDG.
  • Atmospheric CO2 Level Tops 400 ppm
    During the week of May 13th, the CO2 level at the Mauna Loa Observatory in Hawaii topped 400 ppm rep...Read more

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    Atmospheric CO2 Level Tops 400 ppm

    During the week of May 13th, the CO2 level at the Mauna Loa Observatory in Hawaii topped 400 ppm repeatedly. Daily levels of CO2 can vary due to weather, and there are seasonal trends as well. The level of atmospheric greenhouse gases continues to increase, now over 120 ppm since the Industrial Revolution began. For more on the Keeling Curve, see http://keelingcurve.ucsd.edu/. Find out more about greenhouse gases and warming.
What’s in a global climate model? The Community Climate System Model (CCSM version 3) that is run with the supercomputer at the National Center for Atmospheric Research incorporates data about all of the natural processes shown in this diagram to simulate Earth’s complex climate system.
Click on image for full size
UCAR

How Climate Models Work

A global climate model (GCM) uses hundreds of mathematical equations to describe processes that happen on our planet, processes like wind, ocean currents, and plant growth. Math is also used to describe how Earth processes are related to each other. For instance, how wind patterns affect the transport of storms from one area to another, how ocean currents affect the amount of heat in the atmosphere, and how plant growth affects the amount of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere. All these things, described with all this math, help scientists understand how Earth's climate works and how climate is changing.

Large climate models contain so many equations and are so complex that they need to be run on supercomputers. Using a supercomputer to keep up with the calculations, a model runs through simulated days, weeks, months, and years. Usually this is done to make climate predictions for one or more centuries into the future; sometimes models are run backwards to find out how climate may have changed in the past.

Global climate models represent how natural processes of our planet work using an imaginary three-dimensional grid. The grid isn’t really there. It is part of the model. It covers the surface of the modeled Earth and extends upward in layers through the modeled atmosphere. At every intersection in the model’s grid the model makes its calculations. Small processes that happen between a model’s grid points cannot be “seen” in the model results, but they can be described in other ways. Some models have wide spacing in the grid. This means that there are fewer points where the model calculates. These models run faster and are useful when less detail is needed. Some models have very closely spaced grid points. These are much more detailed models and it can take a long time for the supercomputer, even a fast one, to run the model.

Last modified July 18, 2007 by Lisa Gardiner.

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