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  • Irish Chronicles Document Links Between Volcanoes and Weather
    A study of over 40,000 written entries in Irish Annals and ice core measurements shows a strong corr...Read more

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    Irish Chronicles Document Links Between Volcanoes and Weather

    A study of over 40,000 written entries in Irish Annals and ice core measurements shows a strong correlation between the occurrence of volcanic eruptions and extreme cold weather in Ireland over a 1200 year period. Data analyzed in this study cover the period from 431 to 1649, during which time up to 48 volcanic eruptions are identified in Greenland ice core records through deposition of volcanic sulfate in annual layers of ice. You can find the study (open access), published on 6 June 2013 in IOP Publishing's journal Environmental Research Letters, at http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/8/2/024035/article. Find out more about how volcanoes can influence climate.
  • EF-5 Tornado in El Reno, Oklahoma Widest Ever Recorded in US
    The EF-5 tornado that hit El Reno, Oklahoma on May 31st was the widest ever recorded in the US, acco...Read more

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    EF-5 Tornado in El Reno, Oklahoma Widest Ever Recorded in US

    The EF-5 tornado that hit El Reno, Oklahoma on May 31st was the widest ever recorded in the US, according to the National Weather Service in Norman Oklahoma. The tornado, which remained on the ground for 40 minutes and reached 2.6 miles across (4.2 km), took the lives of 18 people including storm chasers Tim Samaras, Paul Samaras and Carl Young. For more information on the tornado, visit http://ow.ly/i/2hfDG.
  • Atmospheric CO2 Level Tops 400 ppm
    During the week of May 13th, the CO2 level at the Mauna Loa Observatory in Hawaii topped 400 ppm rep...Read more

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    Atmospheric CO2 Level Tops 400 ppm

    During the week of May 13th, the CO2 level at the Mauna Loa Observatory in Hawaii topped 400 ppm repeatedly. Daily levels of CO2 can vary due to weather, and there are seasonal trends as well. The level of atmospheric greenhouse gases continues to increase, now over 120 ppm since the Industrial Revolution began. For more on the Keeling Curve, see http://keelingcurve.ucsd.edu/. Find out more about greenhouse gases and warming.
This diagram illustrates some of the features of a coupled ocean-atmosphere model.
Click on image for full size
UCAR

Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere Models

Scientists use computer models to help them understand and predict the behaviors of Earth's atmosphere and oceans. These models, which run on supercomputers, are extremely complex. Some models only cover the atmosphere, while others only deal with the oceans. A third type of model combines ocean and atmospheric models into a single integrated framework in which interactions between the oceans and atmosphere are a key feature. These combined models are referred to as "coupled models".

Let's look at an example to clarify the distinction between coupled and uncoupled models. Atmospheric models that are used to assess climate change are very much concerned with the amount of carbon dioxide (CO2) in the air. Some processes, such as fossil fuel burning, add carbon dioxide to the atmosphere. Other processes remove carbon dioxide from the air. The world's oceans absorb large amounts of CO2, for instance. In an uncoupled model of the atmosphere, the portion of the model that portrays the oceans always stays the same, no matter how much CO2 the seas absorb. In a coupled model, on the other hand, the ocean model would change over time as the levels of carbon dioxide in the oceans increased. The oceans would gradually become saturated with CO2 and would thus be able to absorb less and less from the atmosphere. This change would, in turn, alter the behavior of the atmosphere part of the model.

It probably seems obvious to you that a coupled model is more realistic. Why don't scientists always use coupled models? Coupled models are much more complex, so it takes a lot more effort to make sure they are working correctly. The greater level of complexity also means that coupled models take much longer to run, even on supercomputers. Some scenarios can be modeled pretty well with uncoupled models. Other situations demand the more complex coupled models.

Last modified August 26, 2008 by Randy Russell.

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